Impact of Sea-level Rise and Storm Surges on a Coastal Community   总被引：7，自引：7，他引：7  

K. L. Mcinnes  K. J. E. Walsh  G. D. Hubbert  T. Beer 《Natural Hazards》2003,30(2):187-207

A technique to evaluate the risk of storm tides (the combination of a storm surge and tide) under present and enhanced greenhouse conditions has been applied to Cairns on the north-eastern Australian coast. The technique combines a statistical model for cyclone occurrence with a state-of-the-art storm surge inundation model and involves the random generation of a large number of storm tide simulations. The set of simulations constitutes a synthetic record of extreme sea-level events that can be analysed to produce storm tide return periods. The use of a dynamic storm surge model with overland flooding capability means that the spatial extent of flooding is also implicitly modelled. The technique has the advantage that it can readily be modified to include projected changes to cyclone behaviour due to the enhanced greenhouse effect. Sea-level heights in the current climate for return periods of 50, 100, 500 and 1000 years have been determined to be 2.0 m, 2.3 m, 3.0 m and 3.4 m respectively. In an enhanced greenhouse climate (around 2050), projected increases in cyclone intensity and mean sea-level see these heights increase to 2.4 m, 2.8 m, 3.8 m and 4.2 m respectively. The average area inundated by events with a return period greater than 100 years is found to more than double under enhanced greenhouse conditions.  相似文献   

Fabric studies within the Cascade Lake shear zone, Sierra Nevada, California   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Basil Tikoff  Matthew R. Davis  Christian Teyssier  Michel de St. Blanquat  Guillaume Habert  Sven Morgan   《Tectonophysics》2005,400(1-4):209-226

The Cascade Lake shear zone occurs on the eastern margin of the Tuolumne Intrusive Suite, Sierra Nevada Batholith, California. Foliation in the zone is NNW trending and subvertical, and lineation is moderately south plunging. Deformation is syn-tectonic with emplacement of the Cathedral Peak granodiorite. A deformation gradient exists toward the NE margin of this pluton, with higher strains and lower temperatures of deformation found near the contact. We compare fabric data collected very densely in this shear zone using several techniques: field fabrics, 3D orientation of K-feldspar megacrysts, and AMS (anisotropy of magnetic susceptibility) analysis. In general, the results from the three different methods are in agreement. Deformation in this shear zone is part of a larger pattern of deformation within the Cathedral Peak granodiorite, as recorded by AMS analysis, and dextral shearing associated within the last stage of plutonism within the Sierra Nevada magmatic arc.  相似文献   

Tetrahedral Plots of the Phase Relations for Basalts     

Sven Maal?e  Richard N. Abbott Jr. 《Mathematical Geology》2005,37(8):869-893

The phase relations of quaternary systems are generally represented by projections onto ternary compositional planes. Such projections often obscure relationships that would only be evident in a three-dimensional tetrahedral plot. The tetrahedral plot requires that compositions of the minerals and melts be transformed into Cartesian coordinates. It is shown here how this transformation is carried out. The application is demonstrated by tetrahedral plots of experimental melt compositions of partially molten lherzolite. Furthermore, the plot can be used to evaluate whether or not a particular basaltic composition represents a primary melt. The methods are applicable to any four-component system.  相似文献   

Meio-epifaunal wood colonization in the vicinity of methane seeps     

Adriana Gracia C.  Lisa A. Levin  Sven Zea 《Marine Ecology》2020,41(1):e12573

In deep-sea environments, plant remains of several origins are found, including branches, twigs, leaves, and wood pieces, among others. As most of the deep-sea bottoms are oligotrophic and nutrient-limited, plant remains provide an oasis of localized organic enrichment and a substrate for colonization. Sunken wood was suggested to play an important evolutionary role in the diversification of chemosynthetic ecosystems, possibly representing stepping stones for the colonization between vent and seep ecosystems. In order to understand colonization processes of the Pacific Costa Rican meio-epifaunal assemblages associated with sunken wood, a field experiment was conducted on Mound 12 (8°55.778′N, 84°18.730′W) at ~1,000 m water depth. Woodblocks were placed in four different habitats (Mussel beds, tube worms, near mussel beds, rubble bottoms), and different local environmental conditions (seepage-active and seepage-inactive sites). Seven experimental Douglas fir woodblocks (each 1,047 cm² in surface area) were deployed from the R/V Atlantis using the manned submersible Alvin in February 2009 and recovered after 10.5 months in January 2010. Sample processing and analyses led to a data set of abundance (total 9,951 individuals) and spatial distribution of nine meio-epifaunal higher taxa/groups. Meio-epifaunal densities on individual woodblocks ranged from 3 to 26 ind.10 cm². Copepods accounted for the highest abundances (75.1%), followed by nauplii larvae (11.7%) and nematodes (9.8%). The maximum number of individuals (26.3 ind.10 cm⁻²) was found in blocks placed in seepage-inactive areas (near active mussel beds) in contrast to 2.9 ind.10 cm⁻² in active areas (within a mussel bed). A hierarchical cluster analysis grouped blocks according to seepage activity and not to habitat, but tests of similarity showed no significant differences in higher taxon composition and abundances, probably owing either to substrate homogeneity or low sample size. Copepods were the most abundant representatives, suggesting that this group is one of the most successful in colonizing in the early stage of succession, in this case while hardwood substrates are not yet decomposed or bored by bivalves.  相似文献   

Aragonite and calcite preservation in sediments from Lake Iznik related to bottom lake oxygenation and water column depth          下载免费PDF全文

Patricia Roeser  Sven O. Franz  Thomas Litt 《Sedimentology》2016,63(7):2253-2277

This study examines the forcing mechanisms driving long‐term carbonate accumulation and preservation in lacustrine sediments in Lake Iznik (north‐western Turkey) since the last glacial. Currently, carbonates precipitate during summer from the alkaline water column, and the sediments preserve aragonite and calcite. Based on X‐ray diffraction data, carbonate accumulation has changed significantly and striking reversals in the abundance of the two carbonate polymorphs have occurred on a decadal time scale, during the last 31 ka cal bp . Different lines of evidence, such as grain size, organic matter and redox sensitive elements, indicate that reversals in carbonate polymorph abundance arise due to physical changes in the lacustrine setting, for example, water column depth and lake mixing. The aragonite concentrations are remarkably sensitive to climate, and exhibit millennial‐scale oscillations. Extending observations from modern lakes, the Iznik record shows that the aerobic decomposition of organic matter and sulphate reduction are also substantial factors in carbonate preservation over long time periods. Lower lake levels favour aragonite precipitation from supersaturated waters. Prolonged periods of stratification and, consequently, enhanced sulphate reduction favour aragonite preservation. In contrast, prolonged or repeated exposure of the sediment–water interface to oxygen results in in situ aerobic organic matter decomposition, eventually leading to carbonate dissolution. Notably, the Iznik sediment profile raises the hypothesis that different states of lacustrine mixing lead to selective preservation of different carbonate polymorphs. Thus, a change in the entire lake water chemistry is not strictly necessary to favour the preservation of one polymorph over another. Therefore, this investigation is a novel contribution to the carbon cycle in lacustrine systems.  相似文献   

Geocrowdsourcing and accessibility for dynamic environments     

Han Qin  Rebecca M. Rice  Sven Fuhrmann  Matthew T. Rice  Kevin M. Curtin  Eric Ong 《GeoJournal》2016,81(5):699-716

  相似文献   

Abrupt transitions in the NAO control of explosive North Atlantic cyclone development     

Iñigo Gómara  Belén Rodríguez-Fonseca  Pablo Zurita-Gotor  Sven Ulbrich  Joaquim G. Pinto 《Climate Dynamics》2016,47(9-10):3091-3111

  相似文献   

Spatial patterns of groundwater‐lake exchange – implications for acid neutralization processes in an acid mine lake     

Christiane Neumann  Julia Beer  Christian Blodau  Stefan Peiffer  Jan H. Fleckenstein 《水文研究》2013,27(22):3240-3253

Exchange of groundwater and lake water with typically quite different chemical composition is an important driver for biogeochemical processes at the groundwater‐lake interface, which can affect the water quality of lakes. This is of particular relevance in mine lakes where anoxic and slightly acidic groundwater mixes with oxic and acidic lake water (pH < 3). To identify links between groundwater‐lake exchange rates and acid neutralization processes in the sediments, exchange rates were quantified and related to pore‐water pH, sulfate and iron concentrations as well as sulfate reduction rates within the sediment. Seepage rates measured with seepage meters (?2.5 to 5.8 L m^‐2 d^‐1) were in reasonable agreement with rates inverted from modeled chloride profiles (?1.8 to 8.1 L m^‐2 d^‐1). Large‐scale exchange patterns were defined by the (hydro)geologic setting but superimposed by smaller scale variations caused by variability in sediment texture. Sites characterized by groundwater upwelling (flow into the lake) and sites where flow alternated between upwelling and downwelling were identified. Observed chloride profiles at the alternating sites reflected the transient flow regime. Seepage direction, as well as seepage rate, were found to influence pH, sulfate and iron profiles and the associated sulfate reduction rates. Under alternating conditions proton‐consuming processes, for example, sulfate reduction, were slowed. In the uppermost layer of the sediment (max. 5 cm), sulfate reduction rates were significantly higher at upwelling (>330 nmol g^‐1 d^‐1) compared to alternating sites (<220 nmol g^‐1 d^‐1). Although differences in sulfate reduction rates could not be explained solely by different flux rates, they were clearly related to the prevailing groundwater‐lake exchange patterns and the associated pH conditions. Our findings strongly suggest that groundwater‐lake exchange has significant effects on the biogeochemical processes that are coupled to sulfate reduction such as acidity retention and precipitation of iron sulfides. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Experimental studies on the phase systems Fe-Ni-Pd-S and Fe-Pt-Pd-As-S applied to PGE deposits     

Emil Makovicky  Sven Karup-Møller  Milota Makovicky  Jhon Rose-Hansen 《Mineralogy and Petrology》1990,42(1-4):307-319

Summary In the present paper current results of experimental investigation of the phase system Pd-Fe-Ni-S at 900°C, 725°C, 550°C and 400°C as well as of the phase system Pt-Fe-As-S at 850°C and 470°C are summarized. A preliminary note on the system Pt-Pd-As-S is added. Individual phase assemblages are presented, data on solubility of PGE in base metal sulphides/arsenides or alloys are given and solid solution ranges of important minerals are described as a function of temperature and phase assemblage. The extent and role of sulphide/arsenide melts in these systems are presented together with hints for, and examples of the application of the current experimental results for the explanation of ore-geological processes.

---

Bisherige Ergebnisse experimenteller Untersuchungen in den Systemen Fe-Ni-Pd-S und Fe-Pt-Pd-As-S und ihre Bedeutung für Lagerstätten der Platin-Gruppen-Elemente

Zusammenfassung In der vorliegenden Arbeit werden bisherige Ergebnisse experimenteller Untersuchungen in den Phasensystemen Pd-Fe-Ni-S bei 900°C, 725°C, 550°C sowie 400°C, bzw. Pt-Fe-As-S bei 850°C und 470°C zusammengefasst. Vorläufige Anmerkungen zum System Pt-Pd-As-S werden gegeben. Die Phasenbeziehungen und die Löslichkeitsdaten von PGE's in Buntmetall-Sulfiden/Arseniden sowie deren Verbindungen werden präsentiert. Die Mischungsbereiche der wichtigsten Minerale werden als Funktion von Temperatur und Phasenvergesellschaftung diskutiert. Die Rolle von Sulfid/Arsenid Schmelzen in diesen Systemen und Beispiele für die Anwendung dieser experimentellen Ergebnisse zur Erklärung lagerstättenkundlicher Prozesse werden beschrieben.

---

---

With 6 Figures  相似文献   

Estimating australian forest fire danger under conditions of doubled carbon dioxide concentrations     

Tom Beer  Allyson Williams 《Climatic change》1995,29(2):169-188

The most appropriate indices with which to quantify Australian bushfire danger are the McArthur fire danger meters. These meters use meteorological information to produce a fire danger index that is directly related to the chance of a fire starting - and to the severity of a fire once it has started. The Mark 5 forest-fire danger meter uses air temperature, relative humidity and wind speed, plus a drought factor that is calculated using daily rainfall and temperature information.Three years of daily data generated from the CSIRO four-level general circulation model, and thirty years of daily data generated from the CSIRO nine-level model were used to estimate the daily McArthur forest fire danger index for simulations corresponding to present conditions, and to those corresponding to doubled atmospheric CO₂. The performance of these models with respect to fire danger was tested by comparing the fire danger index for Sale (in the Eastern part of Victoria, South-eastern Australia) calculated from analysis of daily climatological data with the modelled annual cumulative forest fire danger index for the grid point that was representative of Sale. Data from both models for all Australian grid points were also examined. Both models predict an increase in fire danger over much of Australia for their doubled CO₂ scenarios.The results from the models confirm that annually averaged daily relative humidity is the single most important variable in the estimation of forest fire danger on an annual basis, yet the models tend to produce relative humidities that are slightly too low so that the fire danger is overestimated. A simple one-box model of evaporation indicates that the value of relative humidity to be expected under an altered climatic regime depends on the modelled relation between actual and potential evaporation, the present values of relative humidity and evaporation rate, as well as on the expected changes in wind speed.  相似文献